CoinShares: Bitcoin Halving Will Increase Mining Costs
With the anticipated Bitcoin halving in April 2024, mining companies are preparing for a notable rise in operational costs, as detailed in a recent CoinShares report. This event, which halves the block reward for miners, is expected to slow the generation of new Bitcoin, consequently increasing production and cash costs for mining operations.
According to CoinShares, the average production and cash costs, which stood at roughly $16,800 and $25,000 per Bitcoin respectively in the third quarter of 2023, are projected to climb to about $27,900 and $37,800. The report identifies mining firms like Riot, TeraWulf, and CleanSpark as being in a relatively strong position to handle the halving due to their efficient cost structures and robust financial reserves. However, it warns that a Bitcoin price drop below $40,000 could pose significant challenges for all miners.
The study also notes that despite improvements in fleet efficiency among mining companies, their direct cost structures may not benefit significantly. This is because the required power and energy consumption to mine the same amount of Bitcoin will increase. Pre- and post-halving electricity costs are expected to constitute approximately 68% and 71% of the total cost structure for miners.
The report additionally discusses the difficulties faced by Core Scientific, which has recently completed a $55-million equity financing round to regain financial stability. In summary, the upcoming Bitcoin halving event is likely to tighten profit margins for miners, leaving only the most efficient and strategically prepared firms profitable in the long run.
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